Options trading : Tesla (TSLA) earnings play

   GET WEEKLY TRADE IDEAS HERE.

FREE OPTIONS TRADING LESSONS HERE.

1/25/2023 (12:45:29 pm, PT)  🠈🠈  earnings release at 1 pm (PT)

sell -1 Jan 27, 2023 $114 put at $0.25 (credit)

• the "market maker move" was up/down $11.45 post-earnings
• TSLA = $144.54
• I sold a put that was more than twice the "market maker move"
• I was OK with buying 100 shares at $114/share
• prob ITM/assignment: 4.19% (very, very low)
• 2 DTE 
• earnings after closing bell on Jan 25

1/27/2023 (exp)

TSLA closed at $178.31

My short put expired perfectly

PROFIT:  $25 (2 days)

  GET WEEKLY TRADE IDEAS HERE.

FREE OPTIONS TRADING LESSONS HERE.

Options trading : Amazon (AMZN) semi-bullish trade

   GET WEEKLY TRADE IDEAS HERE.

FREE OPTIONS TRADING LESSONS HERE.

1/19/2023

sell -1 Jan 27, 2023 $85 put at $0.20 (credit)

• 8 DTE
• prob ITM/assignment = 7.80% (low)
• AMZN = $94

1/27/2023 (exp)

AMZN closed at $102.15

my short put expired perfectly

PROFIT: $20

  GET WEEKLY TRADE IDEAS HERE.

FREE OPTIONS TRADING LESSONS HERE.

Options trading : US Oil Fund ETF (USO) semi-bullish trade

   GET WEEKLY TRADE IDEAS HERE.

FREE OPTIONS TRADING LESSONS HERE.

1/23/2023 

sell -1 Jan 27, 2023 $68 put at $0.13 (credit)

• prob ITM/assignment = 10% (low)
• 4 DTE

1/27/2023 (exp)

USO closed at $69.50

my short put expired perfectly

PROFIT:  $13

  GET WEEKLY TRADE IDEAS HERE.

FREE OPTIONS TRADING LESSONS HERE.

Options trading : Amazon (AMZN) semi-bullish trade

   GET WEEKLY TRADE IDEAS HERE.

FREE OPTIONS TRADING LESSONS HERE.

1/19/2023

sell -1 Jan 27, 2023 $83 put at $0.13 (credit)

• 8 DTE
• prob ITM/assignment = 5.35% (low)
• AMZN = $93.69

1/27/2023 (exp)

AMZN closed at $102.16

my short put expired perfectly

PROFIT: $13

  GET WEEKLY TRADE IDEAS HERE.

FREE OPTIONS TRADING LESSONS HERE.

Options trading : Amazon (AMZN) semi-bullish trade

   GET WEEKLY TRADE IDEAS HERE.

FREE OPTIONS TRADING LESSONS HERE.

1/23/2023

sell -1 Jan 27, 2023 $89 put at $0.10 (credit)

• 4 DTE
• prob ITM/assignment: 5.36% (low)

1/27/2023 (exp)

AMZN closed at $102.15

my short put expired perfectly

PROFIT:  $10

  GET WEEKLY TRADE IDEAS HERE.

FREE OPTIONS TRADING LESSONS HERE.

Options trading : Apple (AAPL) semi-bullish trade

    GET WEEKLY TRADE IDEAS HERE.

FREE OPTIONS TRADING LESSONS HERE.

12/23/2022

sell -1 Jan 20, 2023 $110 put at $0.43 (credit)

• oversold
• 28 DTE
• probability ITM/assignment =  8% (very low)
• AAPL = $130.85

1/20/2023 (expiration)

AAPL closed at $137.87

My short put expired perfectly

PROFIT:  $43

   GET WEEKLY TRADE IDEAS HERE.

FREE OPTIONS TRADING LESSONS HERE.

Options trading : US Oil Fund ETF (USO) semi-bullish trade

    GET WEEKLY TRADE IDEAS HERE.

FREE OPTIONS TRADING LESSONS HERE.

1/6/2023

sell -1 Jan 13, 2023 $59 put at $0.13

• 7 DTE
• probability ITM = 7.46% (high probability of success)
• USO = $64.91

1/13/2023 (expiration)

USO closed at $70.05

My short put expired perfectly

PROFIT:  $13

COMMENT:  This was a very short-term, high-probability (of success) trade

   GET WEEKLY TRADE IDEAS HERE.

FREE OPTIONS TRADING LESSONS HERE.

Options trading : Amazon (AMZN) semi-bullish trade

   GET WEEKLY TRADE IDEAS HERE.

FREE OPTIONS TRADING LESSONS HERE.

1/4/2023

sell -1 Jan 13, 2023 $73 put at $0.12

• prob ITM: 4.51% (high probability of success)
• AMZN = $85
• 9 DTE

1/9/2023

buy back short put at $0.01 to remove the risk

PROFIT: $11

COMMENT:  My goal was to place a short-term trade with a high probability of success.

  GET WEEKLY TRADE IDEAS HERE.

FREE OPTIONS TRADING LESSONS HERE.

Options trading : Alphabet (GOOGL) semi-bullish trade

   GET WEEKLY TRADE IDEAS HERE.

FREE OPTIONS TRADING LESSONS HERE.

12/23/2022

sell -1 Dec 30, 2022 $82 put at $0.06

• prob ITM: 4.15% (high probability of success)
• GOOGL = $89.11
• 7 DTE

12/30/2022 (expiration)

GOOGL = $88.23

My short put expired perfectly

PROFIT: $6

COMMENT: My goal was to place a short-term trade with a high probability of success.

  GET WEEKLY TRADE IDEAS HERE.

FREE OPTIONS TRADING LESSONS HERE.

Options trading : Tesla (TSLA) semi-bullish trade

   GET WEEKLY TRADE IDEAS HERE.

FREE OPTIONS TRADING LESSONS HERE.

1/5/2022

sell -1 Jan 13, 2023 $86 put at $0.22

• prob ITM (assignment): 4.59%
• TSLA = $110.58
• oversold
• 8 DTE

1/9/2023

bought back short put at $0.04 to remove the risk

PROFIT: $18

COMMENT: My goal was to have a short-term trade with a high probability of success.

  GET WEEKLY TRADE IDEAS HERE.

FREE OPTIONS TRADING LESSONS HERE.

Options trading : Alphabet (GOOGL) semi-bullish trade

   GET WEEKLY TRADE IDEAS HERE.

FREE OPTIONS TRADING LESSONS HERE.

12/16/2022

sell -1 Dec 23, 2022 $83 put at $0.09

• 7 DTE
• prob OTM (non-assignment): 95% (high probability of success)
• GOOGL = $90.64

12/23/2022 (expiration)

GOOGL closed at $89.23

my short put expired perfectly

PROFIT:  $9

Note: This was a relatively easy high-probability (of success) trade.

  GET WEEKLY TRADE IDEAS HERE.

FREE OPTIONS TRADING LESSONS HERE.

Options trading : CF Holdings (CF) semi-bullish trade

   GET WEEKLY TRADE IDEAS HERE.

FREE OPTIONS TRADING LESSONS HERE.

12/16/2022

sell -1 Dec 23, 2022 $80 put at $0.07

• 7 DTE
• CF = $94-ish
• prob OTM (non-assignment) = 97% (high probability of success)

12/23/2022 (expiration)

CF closed at $90.74

my short put expired perfectly

PROFIT:  $7 

Note: This was a relatively easy, high-probability (of success) trade.

  GET WEEKLY TRADE IDEAS HERE.

FREE OPTIONS TRADING LESSONS HERE.

Options trading : Amazon (AMZN) semi-bullish trade (RD)

   GET WEEKLY TRADE IDEAS HERE.

FREE OPTIONS TRADING LESSONS HERE.

12/1/2022

sell -1 Dec 30, 2022 $85 put at $0.99 (credit)

• 30 DTE
• prob ITM (assignment): 18%
• FOMC press conference on 12/14/2022

12/13/2022 (17 DTE)

buy back short put at $0.45 to remove the risk (the FOMC's press conference is scheduled for Dec. 14)

PROFIT:  $54

  GET WEEKLY TRADE IDEAS HERE.

FREE OPTIONS TRADING LESSONS HERE.

Options trading : Biotech Sector ETF (XBI) credit call spread (semi-bearish)

   GET WEEKLY TRADE IDEAS HERE.

FREE OPTIONS TRADING LESSONS HERE.

12/2/2022

sell -2 Dec 16, 2022 $93 calls at $0.21 (credit)

(I reused the 2 long calls from another trade to create a spread)

• prob ITM:  7.56%
• XBI = $84.42
• 14 DTE

12/14/2022 (10:16 am, PT)  🠈🠈 FOMC press conference at 11 am, PT

buy back the two $93 short calls at $0.02 to remove the risk (even though expiration is only 2 days away)

PROFIT:  $38

  GET WEEKLY TRADE IDEAS HERE.

FREE OPTIONS TRADING LESSONS HERE.

Options trading : Amazon (AMZN) semi-bullish trade

   GET WEEKLY TRADE IDEAS HERE.

FREE OPTIONS TRADING LESSONS HERE.

12/2/2022

sell -1 Dec 16, 2022 $84 put at $0.43 (credit)

• 14 DTE
• prob ITM (assignment):  11.59%
• AMZN = $94.17

12/13/2022 (3 DTE)

buy back short put at $0.10 to remove the risk

PROFIT:  $33

  GET WEEKLY TRADE IDEAS HERE.

FREE OPTIONS TRADING LESSONS HERE.

Options trading : Amazon (AMZN) semi-bullish trade

   GET WEEKLY TRADE IDEAS HERE.

FREE OPTIONS TRADING LESSONS HERE.

12/1/2022

sell -1 Dec 16, 2022 $83 put at $0.32 (credit)

• 15 DTE
• prob ITM (assignment):  8.74%

12/13/2022 (3 DTE)

buy back short put at $0.05 to remove the risk

PROFIT:  $27

  GET WEEKLY TRADE IDEAS HERE.

FREE OPTIONS TRADING LESSONS HERE.

Options trading : Alphabet (GOOGL) semi-bullish trade

   GET WEEKLY TRADE IDEAS HERE.

FREE OPTIONS TRADING LESSONS HERE.

12/12/2022

sell -1 Dec 16, 2022 $83 put at $0.11 (credit)

• 4 DTE
• FOMC press conference on 12/14
• prob ITM (assignment):  5.27%
• GOOGL = $92.18

12/16/2022 (expiration)

GOOGL closed at $90.26

my short put expired perfectly

PROFIT:  $11

  GET WEEKLY TRADE IDEAS HERE.

FREE OPTIONS TRADING LESSONS HERE.

Options trading : SPX semi-bearish trade (credit call spread)

   GET WEEKLY TRADE IDEAS HERE.

FREE OPTIONS TRADING LESSONS HERE.

12/14/2022 (12:50 pm, PT)

buy +1 Dec 15, 2022 4095 call at $1.05 (debit)

sell -1 Dec 15, 2022 4075 call at $2.40 (credit) 🠄🠄  9% prob ITM

• net credit: $1.35
• SPX = 3999.67
• FOMC at 11 am, PT
• 1 DTE

12/15/2022 (expiration)

buy back 4075 short call at $0.05 to remove the risk and take my profits

PROFIT:  $130 (overnight)

SPX settled at 3895.75 so my short call would have been fine . . . but who needs the stress?

  GET WEEKLY TRADE IDEAS HERE.

FREE OPTIONS TRADING LESSONS HERE.

Options trading : US Oil Fund ETF (USO) semi-bullish trade

    GET WEEKLY TRADE IDEAS HERE.

FREE OPTIONS TRADING LESSONS HERE.

12/2/2022

sell -1 Dec 9, 2022 $67.50 put at $0.80 (credit)

probability ITM (assignment):  30% (kind of high for a 7-day trade)

USO = $69.85

7 DTE

12/9/2022 (expiration)

USO traded around $62.85 all day, so my short put was in-the-money.

I chose to take the assignment instead of rolling the put because I want to sell covered calls against the ETF.

I do not intend to hold this ETF "forever."  My goal is to get "called away" within the next 3 months.

   GET WEEKLY TRADE IDEAS HERE.

FREE OPTIONS TRADING LESSONS HERE.

Options trading : Alphabet (GOOGL) semi-bullish trade

    GET WEEKLY TRADE IDEAS HERE.

FREE OPTIONS TRADING LESSONS HERE.

11/28/2022

sell -1 Dec 9, 2022 $87 put at $0.21 (credit)

• probability ITM (assignment):  8.45%
• GOOGL = $95.80
• 11 DTE

12/9/2022 (expiration)

GOOGL closed at $92.83

my short put expired perfectly

PROFIT:  $21

   GET WEEKLY TRADE IDEAS HERE.

FREE OPTIONS TRADING LESSONS HERE.