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Tuesday, January 10, 2023

Options trading : Amazon (AMZN) semi-bullish trade

   GET WEEKLY TRADE IDEAS HERE.

FREE OPTIONS TRADING LESSONS HERE.


1/4/2023

sell -1 Jan 13, 2023 $73 put at $0.12

  • prob ITM: 4.51% (high probability of success)
  • AMZN = $85
  • 9 DTE


1/9/2023

buy back short put at $0.01 to remove the risk

PROFIT: $11


COMMENT:  My goal was to place a short-term trade with a high probability of success.


  GET WEEKLY TRADE IDEAS HERE.

FREE OPTIONS TRADING LESSONS HERE.

Options trading : Alphabet (GOOGL) semi-bullish trade

   GET WEEKLY TRADE IDEAS HERE.

FREE OPTIONS TRADING LESSONS HERE.


12/23/2022

sell -1 Dec 30, 2022 $82 put at $0.06

  • prob ITM: 4.15% (high probability of success)
  • GOOGL = $89.11
  • 7 DTE


12/30/2022 (expiration)

GOOGL = $88.23

My short put expired perfectly

PROFIT: $6


COMMENT: My goal was to place a short-term trade with a high probability of success.


  GET WEEKLY TRADE IDEAS HERE.

FREE OPTIONS TRADING LESSONS HERE.

Options trading : Tesla (TSLA) semi-bullish trade

   GET WEEKLY TRADE IDEAS HERE.

FREE OPTIONS TRADING LESSONS HERE.


1/5/2022

sell -1 Jan 13, 2023 $86 put at $0.22

  • prob ITM (assignment): 4.59%
  • TSLA = $110.58
  • oversold
  • 8 DTE


1/9/2023

bought back short put at $0.04 to remove the risk

PROFIT: $18


COMMENT: My goal was to have a short-term trade with a high probability of success.


  GET WEEKLY TRADE IDEAS HERE.

FREE OPTIONS TRADING LESSONS HERE.

Friday, December 23, 2022

Options trading : Alphabet (GOOGL) semi-bullish trade

   GET WEEKLY TRADE IDEAS HERE.

FREE OPTIONS TRADING LESSONS HERE.


12/16/2022

sell -1 Dec 23, 2022 $83 put at $0.09

  • 7 DTE
  • prob OTM (non-assignment): 95% (high probability of success)
  • GOOGL = $90.64


12/23/2022 (expiration)

GOOGL closed at $89.23

my short put expired perfectly

PROFIT:  $9


Note: This was a relatively easy high-probability (of success) trade.


  GET WEEKLY TRADE IDEAS HERE.

FREE OPTIONS TRADING LESSONS HERE.


Options trading : CF Holdings (CF) semi-bullish trade

   GET WEEKLY TRADE IDEAS HERE.

FREE OPTIONS TRADING LESSONS HERE.


12/16/2022

sell -1 Dec 23, 2022 $80 put at $0.07

  • 7 DTE
  • CF = $94-ish
  • prob OTM (non-assignment) = 97% (high probability of success)


12/23/2022 (expiration)

CF closed at $90.74

my short put expired perfectly

PROFIT:  $7 

Note: This was a relatively easy, high-probability (of success) trade.


  GET WEEKLY TRADE IDEAS HERE.

FREE OPTIONS TRADING LESSONS HERE.


Friday, December 16, 2022

Options trading : Amazon (AMZN) semi-bullish trade (RD)

   GET WEEKLY TRADE IDEAS HERE.

FREE OPTIONS TRADING LESSONS HERE.



12/1/2022

sell -1 Dec 30, 2022 $85 put at $0.99 (credit)
  • 30 DTE
  • prob ITM (assignment): 18%
  • FOMC press conference on 12/14/2022


12/13/2022 (17 DTE)

buy back short put at $0.45 to remove the risk (the FOMC's press conference is scheduled for Dec. 14)

PROFIT:  $54


Options trading : Biotech Sector ETF (XBI) credit call spread (semi-bearish)

   GET WEEKLY TRADE IDEAS HERE.

FREE OPTIONS TRADING LESSONS HERE.


12/2/2022

sell -2 Dec 16, 2022 $93 calls at $0.21 (credit)

(I reused the 2 long calls from another trade to create a spread)
  • prob ITM:  7.56%
  • XBI = $84.42
  • 14 DTE


12/14/2022 (10:16 am, PT)  🠈🠈 FOMC press conference at 11 am, PT

buy back the two $93 short calls at $0.02 to remove the risk (even though expiration is only 2 days away)

PROFIT:  $38




Options trading : Amazon (AMZN) semi-bullish trade

   GET WEEKLY TRADE IDEAS HERE.

FREE OPTIONS TRADING LESSONS HERE.



12/2/2022

sell -1 Dec 16, 2022 $84 put at $0.43 (credit)
  • 14 DTE
  • prob ITM (assignment):  11.59%
  • AMZN = $94.17



12/13/2022 (3 DTE)

buy back short put at $0.10 to remove the risk

PROFIT:  $33


  GET WEEKLY TRADE IDEAS HERE.

FREE OPTIONS TRADING LESSONS HERE.



Options trading : Amazon (AMZN) semi-bullish trade

   GET WEEKLY TRADE IDEAS HERE.

FREE OPTIONS TRADING LESSONS HERE.



12/1/2022

sell -1 Dec 16, 2022 $83 put at $0.32 (credit)
  • 15 DTE
  • prob ITM (assignment):  8.74%



12/13/2022 (3 DTE)

buy back short put at $0.05 to remove the risk

PROFIT:  $27



Options trading : Alphabet (GOOGL) semi-bullish trade

   GET WEEKLY TRADE IDEAS HERE.

FREE OPTIONS TRADING LESSONS HERE.



12/12/2022

sell -1 Dec 16, 2022 $83 put at $0.11 (credit)
  • 4 DTE
  • FOMC press conference on 12/14
  • prob ITM (assignment):  5.27%
  • GOOGL = $92.18


12/16/2022 (expiration)

GOOGL closed at $90.26
my short put expired perfectly

PROFIT:  $11


Thursday, December 15, 2022

Options trading : SPX semi-bearish trade (credit call spread)

   GET WEEKLY TRADE IDEAS HERE.

FREE OPTIONS TRADING LESSONS HERE.



12/14/2022 (12:50 pm, PT)

buy +1 Dec 15, 2022 4095 call at $1.05 (debit)
sell -1 Dec 15, 2022 4075 call at $2.40 (credit) 🠄🠄  9% prob ITM
  • net credit: $1.35
  • SPX = 3999.67
  • FOMC at 11 am, PT
  • 1 DTE


12/15/2022 (expiration)

buy back 4075 short call at $0.05 to remove the risk and take my profits

PROFIT:  $130 (overnight)

SPX settled at 3895.75 so my short call would have been fine . . . but who needs the stress?


Friday, December 9, 2022

Options trading : US Oil Fund ETF (USO) semi-bullish trade

    GET WEEKLY TRADE IDEAS HERE.

FREE OPTIONS TRADING LESSONS HERE.



12/2/2022

sell -1 Dec 9, 2022 $67.50 put at $0.80 (credit)

probability ITM (assignment):  30% (kind of high for a 7-day trade)
USO = $69.85
7 DTE


12/9/2022 (expiration)

USO traded around $62.85 all day, so my short put was in-the-money.
I chose to take the assignment instead of rolling the put because I want to sell covered calls against the ETF.

I do not intend to hold this ETF "forever."  My goal is to get "called away" within the next 3 months.


Options trading : Alphabet (GOOGL) semi-bullish trade

    GET WEEKLY TRADE IDEAS HERE.

FREE OPTIONS TRADING LESSONS HERE.



11/28/2022

sell -1 Dec 9, 2022 $87 put at $0.21 (credit)
  • probability ITM (assignment):  8.45%
  • GOOGL = $95.80
  • 11 DTE


12/9/2022 (expiration)

GOOGL closed at $92.83
my short put expired perfectly

PROFIT:  $21

Thursday, December 8, 2022

Options trade : Amazon (AMZN) semi-bullish trade

    GET WEEKLY TRADE IDEAS HERE.

FREE OPTIONS TRADING LESSONS HERE.



11/29/2022

sell -1 Dec 9, 2022 $80 put at $0.18 (credit)
  • probability ITM (assignment):  6% (low)
  • AMZN = $92.22
  • 10 DTE


12/8/2022 (1 day before exp)

buy back $80 short put at $0.01 to remove the risk

PROFIT:  $17 

This trade had a high probability of success and hence, the "small" premium.  However, that doesn't bother me.  I prefer to collect a small premium consistently with little stress.


Friday, December 2, 2022

Options trading : US Oil Fund ETF (USO) bullish trade

   GET WEEKLY TRADE IDEAS HERE.

FREE OPTIONS TRADING LESSONS HERE.


11/28/2022

sell -1 Dec 2, 2022 $65 put at $0.80 (credit)
  • probability ITM (assignment):  31.76% (high)
  • USO = $67.02
  • 4 DTE
  • max profit: $80


12/2/2022 (expiration)

USO closed at $69.84
My short put expired perfectly

PROFIT:  $80 (in 4 days)  😀 



Options trading : Amazon (AMZN) bullish trade

   GET WEEKLY TRADE IDEAS HERE.

FREE OPTIONS TRADING LESSONS HERE.


11/17/2022

sell -1 Dec 2, 2022 $83 put at $0.42 (credit)
  • probability ITM (assignment): 10.73%
  • AMZN = $94.78
  • 15 DTE


12/2/2022 (expiration)

AMZN closed at $94.10
my short put expired perfectly

PROFIT:  $42



Options trading : US Oil Fund ETF (USO) bullish trade

  GET WEEKLY TRADE IDEAS HERE.

FREE OPTIONS TRADING LESSONS HERE.

 

11/23/2022

sell -1 Dec 2, 2022 $58 put at $0.19 (credit)

  • probability ITM (assignment): 7.65%
  • USO = $67.38
  • 9 DTE


12/2/2022 (expiration)

USO closed at $69.84

my short put expired perfectly

PROFIT:  $19


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Friday, November 25, 2022

Options trading : US Oil Fund ETF (USO) semi-bullish trade

  GET WEEKLY TRADE IDEAS HERE.

FREE OPTIONS TRADING LESSONS HERE.


11/21/2022

sell (to open) -1 Nov 25, 2022 $65 put at $0.26 (credit)

  • 4 DTE
  • probability ITM (assignment): 14%


11/25/2022 (expiration)

USO closed at $66.96

my short put expired perfectly

PROFIT:  $26

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Options trading : US Oil Fund ETF (USO) semi-bullish trade

 GET WEEKLY TRADE IDEAS HERE.

FREE OPTIONS TRADING LESSONS HERE.


11/16/2022

sell -1 Nov 25, 2022 $66 put at $0.23 (credit)

  • probability ITM (assignment):  11%
  • USO = $72.04
  • 9 DTE
  • max profit:  $23


11/25/2022 (expiration)

buy back short put at $0.01 (debit)

PROFIT:  $22


COMMENTS:

I decided to buy back my put because USO dipped down to $66.80 at one point.

At 10 am (PT) (expiration), USO closed at $66.96, so my short put would have been fine.


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Tuesday, November 22, 2022

Options trading : SPX semi-bearish trade

   GET WEEKLY TRADE IDEAS HERE.

FREE OPTIONS TRADING LESSONS HERE.



11/3/2022 (12:57:37 pm, PT)

buy +1 Nov 4, 2022 3925 call at $0.07 (debit)
sell -1 Nov 4, 2022 3835 call at $1.27 (credit)  🠈🠈  probability ITM 4.45%
  • net credit:  $1.20
  • SPX = 3718
  • 1 DTE


11/4/2022 (8:34:48 am, PT)  🠈🠈 expiration

buy back short call (3835 strike) at $0.05 to remove the risk

PROFIT:  $115 (in 1 day)


NOTE:
  • at 7:41 am (PT), SPX hit a high of 3796.34 (not good)
  • at the close, SPX settled at 3770.55 (+50.66 points)